![]() ![]() From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud The aesthetics of randomness Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places The uncertainty of the phony - The end. The scandal of prediction How to look for bird poop Epistemocracy, a dream Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? - Those gray swans of Extremistan. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic Yevgenia's black swan The speculator and the prostitute One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker Confirmation shmonfirmation! The narrative fallacy Living in the antechamber of hope Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd - We just can't predict. Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. ![]() Includes bibliographical references and index Originally published: London: Allen Lane, 2007 ![]() ![]() Nassim Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. 'The Black Swan' is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. ![]()
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